Minneapolis/St. Paul is reporting no snow on the ground. We've tallied 5.2" of snow so far this season, compared to 9.5" last year at this time.
True, we are currently experiencing a strong El Nino in the equatorial Pacific that does impact seasonable weather in the Midwest, especially during winter. "There have only been two very strong El Niño events since 1950 (1982-83 and 1997-1998). Both had Meteorological Winters (December-February) that were in the top 6 warmest on record for the Twin Cities for 120 years of record (1895-2014)." according to the MN State Climatologist Office.
An El Nino winter in the Midwest is generally characterised by a polar jet that is further north and a Pacific jet stream over the southern U.S. (a pattern that we have seen as of late). Sure we will get our cold spells, but they are likely to be less frequent.
Conditions look to chill out this weekend, but no arctic air in sight just yet. A storm will brew up this weekend and depending on the storm track and depth of the cold air, we might be able to get a little snow.
NOAA and the National Weather Service (NWS) began producing probabilistic snowfall forecasts...a good page to bookmark to keep abreast of any potential snowfall events in the Twin Cities. "The web page shows not only our official forecast (most likely), but also low and high end possibilities based on an ensemble of 63 different model forecasts." says NWS.
Saturday-Sunday will be the next opportunity for any accumulating snow in Minnesota. Until then, check out the 20 Most Popular Fatbike Trails (many listed in Minnesota & Wisconsin!).
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story