Never rule out winter in March. A potential plowable snow looks to threaten southern Minnesota...and get awfully close to the Twin Cities Wednesday.
*Timing: Wednesday-early Thursday
*Southern Minnesota could receive significant amounts of snow
*Exact track of storm still uncertain
*Location of heavy snow could change
The storm track will make all the difference.
Just a 10 mile shift north or south with the track could literally mean the difference between no snow or 10 inches of snow.
After Wednesday colder air arrives. A light rain and snow mix is likely Friday night. Temperatures are expected to stay below normal through the extended forecast.
End of El Nino
Latest analysis and monitoring show that the El Nino of 2015-2016 has come to an end.
"During January – March 2015, a significant sub-surface warming occurred across the eastern Pacific. During August-late September, positive anomalies decreased. Positive anomalies decreased during November and December, increased during the first half of January 2016, and have significantly decreased over the last month to near zero." Source: CPC, NCEP, NOAA
The forecast now indicates that La Nina conditions will increase 50% August-October. What does this mean for Minnesota weather? The last time a strong La Nina followed a strong El Nino was in 1998 when the following weather conditions were experienced:
June: slightly cooler, drier than average
July: slightly cooler, drier
September: warmer, drier than average
October: slightly warmer
November: slightly warmer
December: warmer, wet, snowier
Developing La Nina conditions in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean may mean a drier autumn for Minnesota that could increase the chance of drought come fall 2016.
Summer brings warm afternoons perfect for biking, but the summer heat and humidity can also spark thunderstorms and severe weather. Be prepared for any type of adverse weather headed your way with Aeris Pulse.
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story