Moisture leftover from Tropical Depression Paine that made landfall in Baja California on Wednesday will stream across the Rockies into the Midwest by Thursday. With the added moisture, heavy rain chances will continue through the end of the week.
While the rain won't be continuous, there will be three distinct periods of heavy rain:
The atmospheric setup is similar to the record rain event of September 23, 2010 when 5 to 8 inches of rain fell across southern Minnesota resulting in major flooding.
Stream Level Departure from Normal
Many waterways, like Minnehaha Creek, are already experiencing above normal flow prior to this heavy rain. In addition the ground is fairly saturated. In the image below, green indicates where the soil is greater than 50% of saturation.
The National Weather Service in the Twin Cities details the heavy rain and flood threat this week.
Summer brings warm afternoons perfect for biking, but the summer heat and humidity can also spark thunderstorms and severe weather. Be prepared for any type of adverse weather headed your way with Aeris Pulse.
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story