Gone are the days when the first snow fell in the fall and stayed on the ground well into spring. The MORC singletrack has had more ice than snow this year. Twin Cities trail miss out on snow Saturday with the majority of accumulation falling across Cuyuna and COGGS trailheads. Even still, most locations north of I-94 will receive less than one inch.
The probability of one inch of snow is greater than 70% across the Arrowhead. Best snow potential is generally north of any surface storm track in winter. Therefore, best potential for any accumulation stays north of a storm track from Rapid City, over the Twin Cities, to Marquette.
Next Tuesday, however, is looking promising for a packable snow. What the trails need is a good solid few inches to hide all the ice. This just might come together with the next storm taking more of a southerly storm track.
Maybe this is wishful thinking but the image about shows the GFS model snowfall totals forecast valid Wednesday morning. A four to eight inch swatch covers the metro trails. Awesome! Take in mind that various models disagree with placement and amount of snow. Still too early for specifics but promising nonetheless.
Frigid conditions follow the snow Wednesday-Friday, but not for long. Temperatures in the 40s return in a week. Punxsutawney Phil was wrong. Spring comes early this year.
Summer brings warm afternoons perfect for biking, but the summer heat and humidity can also spark thunderstorms and severe weather. Be prepared for any type of adverse weather headed your way with Aeris Pulse.
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story