That scary, horizontal line in front of the temperature has returned. The coldest air Minnesotans have experienced since last February will freeze us into the new year. Coldest day? Tuesday. Cold weather gear has taken on a new meaning.
Tuesday: Don't let the sun fool you. H: 2 Wind: NW 5-10
Tuesday Night: Clear and bitterly cold. L: -6
New Year's Eve: Sunny, not as cold. H: 15 L: 8 Wind: SW 10-15
New Year's Day: Snow showers. Minor accumulations up to 1". H: 19 L: 8 Wind: W 5-10
Friday: Partly sunny. H: 21 L: 16 Wind: SW 5-10
Saturday: Warmest day. Snow showers. H: 23 L: 14 Wind: CALM
Sunday: Flurries. Turning cold again. H: 12 L: -3 Wind: NW 5-10
Snow Depth Difference: While we have a decent snowpack now, the overall snow depth is significantly less than last year. The current snow depth in the Twin Cities is 4 inches, while the snow depth was over double (16 inches) last year at this time. Luckily for fatbikes, the snow on the ground now is here to stay with this extended, extreme cold.
We hit the jackpot with a packable snow followed by extended cold. The snow you see out your window early Saturday will likely stay through the new year as we bundle up for the coldest air since last February. You'll easily crunch that cold snow under those burly fatbike tires!
Packable snow into early Saturday followed by increasingly colder conditions. Below zero lows, heck, even a few sub zero highs are likely as we ring in the new year. The leading edge of this arctic air will spark snow showers Monday...outside of that, the week ahead looks bitterly cold yet dry.
Saturday Night: Clearing. L: 13
Sunday: Turning colder. H: 22 L: 5 Wind: NW 2
Monday: Snow showers. Arctic air arrives. H: 10 L: -4 Wind: N 5
Tuesday: Coldest day. H: 6 L: -4 Wind: NW 5-10
New Year's Eve: Sunny yet bitterly cold. H: 11 L: 2 Wind: SW 10-15
New Year's Day: Partly cloudy. H: 15 L: 11 Wind: W 10
Friday: Snow showers. H: 21 L: 15 Wind: SW 7
Th earliest sunset occurred on December 11th at 4:31 PM. The latest sunrise occurs in early January. Neither occur on the winter solstice, December 21, the shortest day of the year. What gives? Blame the discrepancy between solar noon and the time clock.
Active weather pattern next week with the chance of rain, snow and wind into Christmas. A few inches of new snow before Santa arrives? Coldest air yet this season could arrive just time time for the new year.
Saturday: Remaining cloudy. H: 34° Wind: SE 4
Saturday Night: Light freezing drizzle/snow. L: 24°
Sunday: Drizzle/snow mix. H: 36° L: 27° Wind: SE 7
Monday: Rain, off/on sleet mix. H: 37° L: 29° Wind: SE 10
Tuesday: Snow. 1-2" accumulation. H: 32° L: 27° Wind: NW 10
Christmas Eve: Snow showers. H: 31° L: 21° Wind: NW 10-15
Christmas Day: Mostly cloudy, drier. H: 26° L: 19° Wind: NW 4
Early tornado detection...from migrating birds? Surprising data from tagged songbirds indicated that they " fled their nesting grounds in Tennessee up to two days before the arrival of a fierce storm system that unleashed 84 tornadoes in southern U.S. states in April." Their survival instinct may be their ability to detect infrasound from tornadoes.
Snow returns into early Tuesday! Unfortunately for fatbikes looking for snow, the accumulations will stay generally under 1 inch in the metro. Colder weather this week will firm up our muddy trails temporarily. Another warm-up expected into next week.
Tuesday: Snow ending. Accumulations ~1" H: 26° Wind: NW 10-20
Tuesday Night: Cloudy. L: 14°
Wednesday: Decreasing clouds. H: 23° L: 14° Wind: NW 10
Thursday: Sunshine returns! H: 26° L: 17° Wind: CALM
Friday: Partly sunny. H: 30° L: 23° Wind: S 5
Saturday: Partly sunny. H: 35° L: 25° Wind: SW 5
Sunday: Sunny. H: 36° L: 26° Wind: SW 5
While this week stays dry, the models continue to hint at light snow around Christmas eve. Still to early for specifics but maybe it will be a white Christmas after all?
"Scotch Mist" is a weather term defined as a combination of thick mist or fog and heavy drizzle occurring frequently in Scotland and in part of England...or Minnesota.
The natives are getting restless. A glimmer of sun has been hard to come by lately. Warm, moist air continues to flood over the relatively cold ground and dwindling snow pack to produce a sprawling deck of status clouds.
The air temperature about a half mile up in the atmosphere is nearly 60 degrees. This record-breaking warm air aloft gets translated down to the surface as temperatures in the 40s and 50s for the weekend. Indications are that the low-level moisture and clouds may not clear until Wednesday of next week!
Of course this warmer weather has been to the detriment of our trails. Our once predestine packed snow is melting, and melting fast. Just a measly 1 inch of snow is on the ground at a time of the year when we typically see a foot. Be patient, colder/snowier weather is bound to come around again soon. But for now, our odds of a brown Christmas are increasing.
Saturday: Mild day, misty drizzle, closed trails. H: 44° Wind: SW 10
Saturday Night: Cloudy. L: 38°
Sunday: Remaining cloudy, light drizzle. H: 43° L: 32° Wind: SW 5-10
Monday: Light rain. H: 33° L: 29° Wind: N 10
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, getting colder. H: 31° L: 23° Wind: N 10
Wednesday: Here comes the sun! H: 27° L: 20° Wind: NW 2
Cold Benefits the Body: Sure, the body burns more calories by trying to stay warm when excising outdoors in colder weather but there are many more health benefits to colder environments. We may be onto something Minnesotans!
All I want for Christmas...is a gold-plated bike? Whaaat? Yes, it's true. This beauty above sells for an eye-popping $390,000. Who buys this stuff?
"Drunk" Weather Pattern: Sometimes Mother Nature whacks out. Extreme cold follows devastating snow storms during winter whereas punishing tropical storms batter the coast while California burns up in drought during summer. Many people and climate scientists attribute weather extremes and imbalances to climate change. We have to remember, however, that climate change can be caused by many different factors. John Wallace, professor of atmospheric science at the University of Washington sums it up best:
“I think that most people (myself included) have trouble visualizing randomness. Whether it’s the unseasonable weather or an incredibly bad (or good) run of poker hands that seemingly goes on night after night, our memories tend to be selective, we have difficulty remembering past analogues to the current situation, and we’re continually amazed that random processes like the cut of the cards can give rise to what seems to be systematic behavior.”
"Drunk" weather can be a result of many different things, including but not limited to the following:
1. Global Warming
2. Decadal Patterns (Pacific Ocean cycles)
3. Changes in the Stratosphere
4. Air Pollution
A detailed analysis of each plausible cause (or combination thereof) is outlined in this Capitol Weather Gang Washington Post article.
Most of the snow on the ground now could be gone by the weekend. Above average temperatures in the 40s are expected later this week...maybe even a fleeting 50 degrees in southern Minnesota. Temperatures like this in mid-December happens once every ten years.
Monday: Morning drizzle, light snow. Cloudy. H: 27° Wind: NW 10-15
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. L: 14°
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. H: 27° L: 13° Wind: NW 10
Wednesday: Dry, warming up. H: 30° L: 24° Wind: SE 5-10
Thursday: Increasing clouds. H: 35° L: 29° Wind: SW 2
Friday: Milder. H: 40° L: 33° Wind: SE 4
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. H: 43° L: 34° Wind: SE 10
Sunday: Cloudy. H: 40° L: 30° Wind: NW 5-10
Fatbikers and snow lovers aren't going to like what they see in the extended forecast. Whatever snow we have on the ground now will likely be gone by this time next week with a long stretch of above freezing weather. Odds are increasing for a brown Christmas.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. H: 27° Wind: NE 4
Saturday Night: Increasing clouds. L: 19° Wind: SE 10
Sunday: Sleet, rain, and snow. H: 33° L: 26° Wind: SE 10-15
Monday: Cloudy. H: 31° L: 14° Wind: 15-25
Tuesday: Sunny. H: 20° L: 17° Wind: CALM
Wednesday: Clear. H: 22° L: 15° Wind: SE 10-15
A dry weather trend takes over with a gradual warm up later this week. Take heed on the trails Friday-Sunday as temperatures will likely be above freezing.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. H: 21 Wind: NW 10
Wednesday Night: Clear. L: 10
Thursday: Partly cloudy. H: 28 L: 16 Wind: S 10
Friday: Sunny. H: 32 L: 20 Wind: CALM
Saturday: Above freezing! H: 33 L: 25 Wind: SE 4
Sunday: Snow developing late. H: 36 L: 26 Wind: SE 7
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story