Hope you were able to get on some fresh fatbike snow earlier this week. The 5+" snowfall we received will likely turn to slush by the end of the week as warmer air (potentially in the 40s!) returns to the metro. That familiar freeze/thaw cycle will be in full effect across our area trails this week.
The remainder of this week remains eerily quiet. A big bubble of high pressure will steer any potential snowstorms far from Minnesota. Again, the freeze/thaw will likely confine any riding to the early morning or late evening hours.
Could be a tough year for any extended snow cover. The long-range outlook indicates that above normal temperatures are expected throughout the month of December.
The Twin Cities officially received 1.3" of snow on Thanksgiving Day. This is the first measurable snow of the season and the 7th latest measurable snow on record.
More snow is potentially on the way Monday night into Tuesday. After that, the rest of the week remains quiet.
The month to date snowfall in the Twin Cities is now 6 inches below normal. Last year we had 5 inches by this time! Over the past weekend Rock Rapids, Iowa received a whopping 16 inches of snow. Minneapolis/St.Paul barely saw a flake. Our snow drought could come to and end on Thanksgiving Day...
A slowing storm will drag light drizzle over the area Wednesday, eventually changing to all snow on Thanksgiving Day. Minor snow accumulations (one half to one inch) expected, especially across southeastern Minnesota.
If the Twin Cities fails to pick up 0.1" of snow or greater on Thursday, then we have a chance of getting into December without any measurable snow. This is rare! Snow data record in the Twin Cities go back to 1884 and only two other years (1928 & 1963) saw the first measureable snow hold off until December.
The lack of cold air has resulted in a November of rain. If the month were to end today, we'd be looking at the 7th wettest November on record in the Twin Cities.
Well, November has finally arrived. The coldest air of the season settles across the area this weekend. The cold will moderate back above freezing next week but trails could stay closed until we get a consistent freeze. A dry stretch of weather ends with rain/snow showers on Thanksgiving Day.
Tacky trail conditions can be expected with all the rain recently. We are closing in on 4 inches of precipitation this month...so far the 7th wettest November on record.
Storm Stays South A quick-hitting storm spreads a plowable snow across Iowa, Wisconsin, and Illinois into Saturday. Snowfall rates could be 1-3 inches per hour with total amount 6-10 inches. This storm just clips southern Minnesota with the I-90 corridor blanketed in a 1-3 inch snowfall.
November 18 is the average first 1 inch snowfall for the Twin Cities, which we have yet to see. The other cities listed below will likely receive their first inch this weekend.
Yet another warm November storm brings our trails all rain. If conditions were cold enough, we would be talking about over a foot of snow. Not with this storm. But we will experience the coldest air of the season later this week. Winter attire will feel good on the rides this weekend.
November Rain This storm has a deep connection with the Gulf. The high moisture content of the atmosphere will easily produce over 1 inch amounts across the metro.
North Wind Blows Windy conditions Wednesday night begin to drag in the coldest air yet this season. Rain changing to snow Thursday morning may result in minor accumulations across northern Minnesota. None for the metro...yet.
A soaking 2 inches of rain in the Twin Cities should keep the trails pretty damp through the weekend. With the coldest day of the season Friday evaporation rates will be rather low. Rain again returns next week.
The Twin Cities typically averages 9.3 inches of snow during the month of November. Very little snow in the forecast through next week. If any, maybe a slushy accumulation late in the week.
What an amazing November this has been. The first 4 days of November tied for the 5th warmest and now a heavy rainstorm will threaten to keep trails closed into the weekend.
Windstorm in the making. Low pressure deepens over Minnesota Wednesday. A band of heavy rain sets up over the Twin Cities Wednesday night. This storm brings enough warm air to keep the precipitation as all rain, unlike a similar storm this time last year...
Soaking Rain. Rain totals in the Twin Cities could top 1.50" by Thursday morning. Wouldn't be surprised if this keep most of our area trails closed into the weekend. Friday will be our coldest day yet this season and will certainly limit the evaporation in the woods.
Rochester may get close to record rain, but other records likely to be safe Wednesday.
In addition to a long duration rain, the wind will howl up to 50 mph at times Wednesday-Thursday. This kind of wind can certainly down tree limb branches along our area trails.
This midweek wet storm may keep trails closed at least through Friday. Don't be surprised to see snow showers Thursday night. Coldest day of the season will be Friday but another surge of mild air bumps us back into the 50s Sunday.
Through the first 4 days of November the average temperature ranked the 5th warmest on record. Temperatures have since returned closer to normal...a gentle reminder that it is November. Still, above normal temperatures are expected early next week. Winter comes late this year.
A dry stretch of weather takes over as a ridge of high pressure expands across the Midwest. Later next week, a typical November wind storm develops somewhere in the Midwest and depending on the storm track could bring the area precipitation.
For fat tires looking for snow, the Rockies just got dumped on with 1-2 feet. No snow for the Twin Cities looking 2 weeks out...
We could be shoveling snow right now, but nope, temps in the 70s kicked off November. Rain arrives Thursday from a cold front that will knock temperatures back down closer to normal this weekend. No numbing cold in the forecast...yet.
Temperatures in the 70s in November are extremely rare. Last time was 2008 with the area barely averaging a day a year with highs in the 70s in November!
Heaviest rain looks to stay east of the metro Wednesday-Thursday. But already tacky trails could be too damp come Friday.
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story