A thick, smoky haze filled the sky over Minnesota earlier this week. The milky sky is compliments of numerous wildfires burning in western Canada.
Crossing my fingers for a dry 4th! Late week thundershowers are possible, but Saturday looks dry. Let's hope it stays that way.
The 7-day rainfall forecast across Minnesota only prints out 0.50". At this point, some of the heaviest rains will stay well south of the state. Missouri, Kentucky, and Tennessee could receive over 3 inches of rain!
Climate research has continuously showed an uptick in more severe and intense rain events. The total annual precipitation across the earth has risen 2.2% since 1901. Locations that are increasingly wet vs dry, however, differ from region to region. The Midwest, for example, is seeing higher trends in more extreme rainfall events. Full article: http://bit.ly/1FDGt9N
A recent study done by my alma mater, Penn State University, shows a correlations between airplane contrails and high/low temperatures. Much like regular clouds, contrails tend so minimize the high temperature and increase the overnight low temperature.
A soaking rain of 1-2 inches impacted our metro trails early Monday. More rain (and potential trail closures) into Wednesday night can be expected.
Rather seasonable weather remains for the rest of this week. An occasional thundershower may pass over our trails but nothing like a total washout this weekend.
Sunday: Father's Day and the summer solstice. An expert from MN State Climatologist Mark Seeley:
The summer solstice (longest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere) will occur about half past 11am this Sunday, June 21st, as the sun passes directly over the Tropic of Cancer. This year it is coincidental with Father's Day. Minnesota citizens near Lake of the Woods (northernmost Minnesota) will enjoy a day length of about 16 and a quarter hours, while those citizens in Austin (southern Minnesota) will enjoy a day length of about 15 and a half hours.
June is one of our wettest months of the year so it's just fitting that we have a daily chance of thunderstorms in our forecast through next week. Hit-or-miss downpours can be hard to pin point, so trail openings will likely depend on the location of these summertime storms.
Ironically, northern Minnesota woke up to freezing temperatures Friday morning. Didn't feel like the summer season at all!
Muggy conditions and lighter winds have kept the evaporation rates low and the trails damp. Now two rain events this week will threaten any long-term trail openings.
Wednesday and Saturday will be the wettest days of the week. No excessive heat or humidity in sight. So far this has been a relatively tame June.
The next 5 day rainfall shows close to 1.50" across the Twin Cities. Thunderstorms will continue to impact our area trails every 2-3 days. Seeing a prolonged drying trend is rare in June as it is typically our second wettest month of the year behind August.
Seeing a prolonged drying trend is rare in June as it is typically our second wettest month of the year behind August.
We dodged the heavy rain bullet Thursday. The tropical moisture leftovers of Hurricane Blanca grazed southern Minnesota with over 1 inch of rain. The Twin Cities only received 0.30". An extremely tight rainfall gradient occurred across the area such that the northwestern suburbs barely received a trace!
Thunder returns to our metro trail Saturday night into Sunday. No significant summer heat in sight.
Will it rain on my trail? While the science of meteorology has come a long way over the years such that the 5 to 7 day forecast can be pretty darn accurate, predicting exactly when and where summertime storms will form is still a tricky practice. Dennis Mersereau from The Vane has a great write-up about the trials and tribulations of summertime forecasting.
The dirt will dry early this week, especially with temps approaching 90 on Tuesday!
Our trails will get another soaking Thursday-Friday as the leftover moisture from Hurricane Blanca moves into the Midwest.
Monday: Sunny. H: 79 Wind: NW 10
Monday Night: Clear. L: 63
Tuesday: Hot! Partly sunny. H: 88 L: 63 Wind: SW 15-20
Wednesday: Dry again. H: 79 L: 61 Wind: NW 10
Thursday: Scattered thunderstorms. Heavy rain. H: 72 L: 61 Wind: SE 15
Friday: Mostly cloudy, thundershowers. H: 72 L: 61 Wind: N 15-20
Saturday: Isolated late day thunder. H: 77 L: 63 Wind: SE 15
Sunday: Isolated thunderstorm. H: 79 L: 65 Wind: SE 15
This past Wednesday was the wettest day so far this year. Drought conditions have decreased dramatically. After a sun-filled Friday, a batch of heavier rain returns this weekend.
Expect periodic trail closures in the short-term. Early next week will be much drier...and warmer. 80's return with a sticky feel to the air.
Saturday: Thunderstorms increase. H: 73 Wind: SE 15-20
Saturday Night: Heavy rain at times. L: 63
Sunday: Lingering showers. H: 79 L: 61 Wind: NW 10
Monday: Partly sunny. H: 79 L: 59 Wind: NW 15-20
Tuesday: Warm! Slightly humid. H: 84 L: 64 Wind: CALM
Wednesday: Feeling like June. H: 81 L: 63 Wind: NW 10
Easy to mistaken the accumulating cottonwood for snow. I caught myself doing a double take the other day on the trail.
The fall-like airmass over the weekend gradually fades into a string of 70 degree days. Could be worse. June is Minnesota's wettest, most severe month out of the entire year. Soak up the good singletrack while it lasts.
Tuesday: Sunny, dry. H: 75 Wind: S 10-15
Tuesday Night: Increasing clouds. L: 63
Wednesday: Cloudy, thunderstorms. H: 75 L: 61 Wind: S 15
Thursday: Thunderstorms. H: 77 L: 59 Wind: S 5
Friday: Lighter rain. H: 70 L: 57 Wind: NE 10
Saturday: Mostly sunny. H: 72 L: 59 Wind: SE 5-15
Sunday: Scattered showers, t-storms. H: 75 L: 61 Wind: W 10-15
Summer brings warm afternoons perfect for biking, but the summer heat and humidity can also spark thunderstorms and severe weather. Be prepared for any type of adverse weather headed your way with Aeris Pulse.
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story