Question: When will this relentless rain end? Answer: Soon.
I know it's been a rough summer for trail riding. Hang in there, the overall weather pattern looks to change up just a bit and allow for some drier days ahead.
A dry puff of Canadian air (blue shade moving into northeast MN) graces us with it's presence late Saturday. This results in dry weather from Sunday-Tuesday. Very low rain chances occur through late next week. Finally, a stretch of dry weather. Perfect for getting some much needed trail maintenance done.
Saturday: Morning rain, afternoon clearing. H: 75 Wind: 7-11
Saturday Night: Clear L: 57 Wind: N 2-4
Sunday: Sunny! H: 81 L: 60 Wind: N 2-4
Monday: Dry and warm. H: 80 L: 60 Wind: NE 2
Tuesday: Still sunny. H: 82 L: 61 Wind: CALM
Wednesday: A passing thunderstorm. H: 84 L: 62 Wind: S 2
Well, I'm glad I got a ride in at Theo Thursday night before the monsoon rains hit. The Twin Cities got slammed by a solid 1.5" of rain and high winds in the wee morning hours on Friday. Sure woke me up!
The lightning show was crazy!...nothing like I've seen before. Eden Prairie clocked a wind gust of 55 mph and with a wind like that I suspect there will be a lot of downed branches/trees on the trails. Not exactly an ideal way to kick start the biking weekend.
A persistent stormy pattern stays in place this weekend. Groups of thunderstorms will occasionally move through the area potentially producing damaging winds and flash flooding.
Summe-time thunderstorms like this are often difficult to predict. Storms one day often dictate where and when storms will form the next day. The National Weather Service in La Crosse best summed up what we can expect this weekend:
Saturday: Broken sunshine, humid. H: 89 Wind: SSW 10
Saturday Night: Thunderstorms w/heavy rain (0.50"+). L: 72 Wind: S 10 G 30
Sunday: Afternoon thunderstorms. H: 89 L: 70 Wind: SW 10-15
Monday: Late-day thunder. H: 90 L: 71 Wind: NW 2-4
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, showers and storms. H: 90 L: 71 Wind: SE 10
Wednesday: Late afternoon storms. H: 89 L: 68 Wind: S 2-4
With the high humidity and several rounds of rain, expect limited drying of the trails. I predict many will be closed throughout the weekend.
Lutsen 99er CycleCast
The Lutsen 99er is less than a week away. Whether you're racing or spectating check out 2WW's CycleCast for next weekend. The race course just got hammered by rain as well...with more likely to fall through next week.
The long range outlook is looking a little drier (yes!) but models still have time to change their minds. Will be a great time, regardless. I'll be racing, so see you "up north"!
The longest days of the year are upon us. Thursday is the longest day of 2013 with a whopping 15 hours 36 minutes and 53 seconds of pure Minnesota sun. Then, at 12:04 CDT Friday morning, the sun reaches its northern most point in the sky farthest from the equator. This is the Summer Solstice...bring on the start of summer!
It'll finally start feeling like summer around here as the heat and humidity begin to increase late this week. Unfortunately rain will continue to plague our extended forecast as a storm track sets up right over Minnesota. Summer-time thunderstorms in this type of pattern are extremely difficult to forecast both in timing and location. Best days for getting caught in the rain on the bike?...Saturday and Sunday.
Tuesday: Morning rain, turning partly cloudy. H: 74 Wind: NE 5-10
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, dry. L: 58 Wind:SE 4
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Thunder Wed. night. H: 80 L: 65 Wind: S 5-10
Thursday: Partly sunny. Overnight thunderstorms. H: 84 L: 69 Wind: SE 10
Friday: Mostly cloudy. Rain arriving overnight. H: 90 L: 74 Wind: SE 10-15 G 20
Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms. H: 90 L: 71 Wind: SSW 10 G 15
Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms. H: 91 L: 68 Wind: SW 15-20 G 30
Bike Share Programs Go Viral
The Twin Cities were one of the first metropolitan areas to pioneer the community bike idea. Now cities across the country are adopting bike share programs similar to Nice Ride Minnesota. New York City, for example, has recently launched their own bike share program and the community response, well, has been anything but Minnesota nice.
We've had 11 consecutive weekends with measurable rain...this weekend makes twelve! You have to go all the way back to the month of March to find a completely dry weekend. I don't know whether to laugh or cry.
Morning showers and thunderstorms taper Saturday morning as a slow cold front swings through Minnesota. Luckily the heaviest rain stays south of the metro trails. Sunday will be dry but additional rain is likely Sunday night. Blah.
Saturday: AM Thunder, partly sunny PM. H: 84 Wind: NW 5-10
Saturday night: Clear & calm. L: 62 Wind: W 2-4
Father's Day: Sunny, DRY! Rain arrives Sunday night. H: 85 L: 64 Wind: SW 5-10
Monday: Morning rain, mostly cloudy. H: 78 L: 58 Wind: NW 10
Tuesday: Sun! H: 79 L: 60 Wind: NE 2-4
Wednesday: Sunny. H: 80 L: 65 Wind: SE 5-10
Lutsen 99er & 2WheelWeather
2WW is excited to provide a CycleCast for the upcoming Lutsen 99er (and 39er) race June 29! Luckily northern MN hasn't had the frequent rains like the southern half of the state. Still, conditions are currently on the damp side. After all, it's June...the wettest month of the year.
Right now, the 16-Day Long Range Forecast hints at some rain on race day. Stay updated on trail and weather conditions with the Lutsen 99er CycleCast, a hyper local and highly detailed forecast 5 days, 3 days and 24 hours in advance of race day located here or on the Lutsen 99er website.
I'll be at Lutsen racing so fingers crossed for a dry day! See you there!
So far this month we've had zero days with a completely clear sky...zero! To compliment the clouds, rain has fallen 7 out of the past 10 days. Ticks must be lovin' this wet weather!
June is, historically, the wettest (and most severe) month out of the entire year. The probability of measurable rain on any given day is 40 percent.
True to form, rain has again arrived by midweek. A cluster of thunderstorms, known as an MCS or Mesoscale Convective System, will slide in from South Dakota to give us another heavy dousing of rain Wednesday morning.
Wednesday: Morning rain & thunder. H: 80 Wind: NW 5-10
Wednesday Night: Gradual clearing. L: 60 Wind: N 4-7
Thursday: Partly cloudy. DRY! H: 79 L: 57 Wind: NE 2-4
Friday: Increasing clouds, storms by midnight. H: 78 L: 66 Wind: SE 10-15
Saturday: Morning rain tapering throughout afternoon. Remaining cloudy, humid. H: 81 L: 63 Wind:
Sunday: Partly cloudy. Breezy H: 81 L: 62 Wind: W 10-15 G 22
Bike Walk Week
Is it just me or are more people out and about? It might just be because it's summer (duh) OR because this week is Bike Walk Week! I was up at the butt crack of dawn picking up some friends at the airport and I was amazed at the number of people biking or walking before 6am! From the hard core road warrior to the leisurely stroller, there were a ton of people out early and it made me feel good that I live in one of the most active and healthy cities in America.
Just in case you needed a little extra motivation getting out the door (I know I sometimes need a kick in the pants!) here are a good 13 reasons you should get on the bike.
The sun. A big ball of fire 93 million miles above Lebanon Hills. Who knew, right? A completely sunny day has only occurred 8 times since the beginning of April!
A typical June is marked by long days and high sun elevation. However, a typical cool June is one with stubborn cloudiness like the kind we've had for what seems like an eternity.
Okay, don't hate me. But the weekend will be cloudy, cool...and damp. Thunderstorms with a marginal severe threat will develop Saturday afternoon. Conditions begin to warm up next week (yes!)...but with another chance of rain by midweek (booo).
Saturday: Thunder threat increasing. H: 71Wind: SE 10-15
Saturday Night: Heavy downpours at times. Windy L: 58 Wind: 10-15 G 25
Sunday: Rain early, mostly cloudy. H: 70 L: 55 Wind: S 5-10
Monday: Cloudy, sprinkles. H: 72 L: 57 Wind: NNW 5-10
Tuesday: Cloudy. H: 78 L: 63 Wind: E 2-4
Wednesday: Thunderstorms. H: 80 L: 63 Wind: NE 2
Note: High humidity levels won't permit trail drying. Be sure to check the latest trail conditions before heading out on your mtn bike.
Several studies have shown that, since the 1950s, the spring season has been starting progressively earlier.
Uhh, really? I think the Midwest may have lost that memo this year.
Meteorological summer (June, July, August) has officially started but the weather lately is still looking and feeling like spring with the frequent rains and temps holding in the 60s.
Early May-like weather with highs in the 60s will continue through the rest of the week. For the upcoming weekend...brace yourself...more rain is on the way. I know, I felt deflated too just typing those words. But, hey, at least we had a few days this week with rideable conditions.
Wednesday: Morning showers, cloudy with afternoon sprinkles. H: 66 Wind: NNE 5-10
Wednesday Night: Cloudy. L: 52 Wind: NNE 2
Thursday: Cloudy, sprinkles. H: 64 L: 51 Wind: NEE 5-10
Friday: Sun! H: 74 L: 56 Wind: CALM
Saturday: Showers & storms increasing through the afternoon. H: 78 L: 62 Wind: S 15-20
Sunday: Morning rain, cloudy and windy afternoon. H: 76 L: 59 Wind: W 15-20
A Game Changing Tornado
Last Friday's massive, destructive and deadly EF5 tornado was a learning lesson for many.
This dramatic footage of the El Reno, Oklahoma tornado by storm chaser, Danial Shaw captured just how beastly this twister was. An unconfirmed report states that the tornado grew from 1 mile wide to 2.6 miles wide in just 30 seconds! The El Reno tornado goes down in history as being the widest tornado in history!...beating out the F-4 Wilber-Hallam, Nebraska, tornado May 22, 2004 that was the previous record holder for the widest tornado on record at 2.5 miles wide.
A whole slew of storm chasers were on this tornado. Some for the thrill of chasing, some for the best video for the big cash payout from the tv networks and some simply for scientific research. The video above shows the location of storm chasers (blue dots) as the tornado (white dot) moved along I-40 west of Oklahoma City.
Instrument data collecting via storm chasing has proved beneficial in understanding the inner workings of severe thunderstorms. Other advancements in technology such as the Doppler on Wheels and Phased Array Radar (above) can collect vast amounts of storm data in an extremely short amount of time. For example, the Phased Array Radar can scan the sky in 1 minute and can target specific storms instead of being steered mechanically like normal radar.
Storm chasing has gained a lot more interest in the recent years. Those within the weather community have long said that the increased volume of storm chasers on the roads is a recipe for disaster. That recipe was concocted last Friday. A dangerous series of events happened during the tornado outbreak that have led many to question the safety of storm chasing and dissemination of storm information to the general public.
Cycling and Tornado Safety
Imagine you're on your bike, out in the middle of nowhere and the tornado sirens start going off. What do you do?
Minneapolis/St. Paul is now in the peak of the severe weather season. The primary season runs from April 15 to September 17 with June 10 being the day with the highest average daily severe weather occurrence. Best to plan ahead and know what to do and where to go before severe weather strikes.
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story