Warmer this week with the first threat for severe weather on Wednesday.
Tuesday: Sunny. H: 59 Wind: NW 15-20
Tuesday Night: Dry. L: 37
Wednesday: Afternoon thunderstorms, some severe. H: 68 L: 37 Wind: SE 20
Thursday: Cooler wind. H: 52 L: 25 Wind: W 20-25
Friday: Partly cloudy, cooler. H: 45 L: 27 Wind: NW 10
Saturday: Partly sunny. H: 48 L: 28 Wind: NW 10-15
Easter Sunday: Sunny, warmer. H: 54 L: 32 Wind: SE 15-20
Tornado Potential Index (TDI) indicates moderate instability for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday. Best severe potential still over Nebraska, Iowa, and Kansas.
By late March the strong sun begins to warm the ground, whereas the upper atmosphere still maintains a winter chill. This cold air above warm air creates an unstable environment in which thunderstorms can develop.
We just might hear the first rumbles of thunder this Wednesday as a vigorous cold front approaches the state. Precipitation totals through next week should stay below 0.50".
Saturday: Cool sun. H: 45 Wind: SE 5-10
Saturday Night: Light rain develops. L: 36
Sunday: Windy. Scattered showers. H: 48 L: 30 Wind: NW 20-30 gusts 40
Monday: Light rain and snow. H: 57 L: 34 Wind: NW 10
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. H: 57 L: 34 Wind: W 10
Wednesday: Showers, thunderstorms south. H: 59 L: 37 Wind: SE 10-15
The Climate Prediction Center indicates that April will start out wetter than normal
The fresh snow makes it tempting to bring the fatbike out on the trails, but know that the soil underneath is soft. We saw 70 degrees not too long ago! Another shot of snow this week before temps return to a spring feel.
Tuesday: Rapidly melting snow. H: 45 Wind: SE 10
Tuesday Night: Rain changes to snow. L: 32
Wednesday: Light rain and snow. H: 37 L: 27 Wind: W 15-20
Thursday: Snow showers. H: 34 L: 14 Wind: NW 15-20
Friday: Sunny. H: 36 L: 19 Wind: N 10
Saturday: Partly cloudy. H: 46 L: 34 Wind: SE 10
Sunday: Isolated shower. H: 48 L: 28 Wind: NW 15-20
Wintry Mix Tuesday Night - Wednesday:
Snow in March? Heck, it can snow in May! Nothing unusual about the slushy snow Sunday night across southern Minnesota. Count our blessings we're not Boston!
Saturday: Partly sunny. H: 36 Wind: N 10
Saturday Night: Increasing clouds. L: 21
Sunday: Rain/snow mix changing to snow Sunday night. H: 37 L: 23 Wind: E 5
Monday: Flurries. H: 45 L: 28 Wind: SE 2-5
Tuesday: Rain and snow showers. H: 43 L: 30 Wind: SE 10-15
Wednesday: Flurries and drizzle. H: 41 L: 25 Wind: SW 10-15
Early Frost Out: Our trails saw a great reduction in the frost level to a depth of 10-12 inches due to the unusually warm conditions of last weekend. According to MN State Climatologist, Mark Seeley, the loss of this much frost so early in the season will allow the soil to absorb more precipitation that is to come later this month.
Drought Returns: Last week 5% of the state was in moderate drought, this week 88% now in moderate drought. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center just released predictions for meteorological spring (April, May, June). Odds favor Minnesota having a slight dry and warmer than average spring season.
Only 30% of the time did an early spring drought continue into the summer months, according to MN state climatologist Mark Seeley.
Total Solar Eclipse 2017: The U.S. may have missed the total solar eclipse on Friday (primarily visible over the northern Atlantic Ocean and parts of Europe) but on August 21, 2017 a total solar eclipse will be seen by the entire nation. The sky will go completely dark for a full 2 minutes of Kentucky and Illinois. Mark your calendars!
Minneapolis/St. Paul hit a record high of 70 degrees on Sunday. Noticeably cooler this week with a chance of rain...and snow...on Wednesday.
West-central MN may see an inch of slush. Any accumulation of snow will be gone late this week with highs near 50. An even bigger cold wave arrives this weekend...a cruel joke by Mother Nature?
With the recent record-setting warmth most of the soil across southern and western Minnesota has lost frost down to 6-8 inches. There is an even deeper layer of frost that will take more time for our trails to thaw out.
A spit of rain on Monday signals the passage of a cool front that will bring noticeably cooler conditions next week. Still no big storms in the short-term forecast.
Monday: Mostly cloudy, light rain. H: 55 Wind: NE 10-15
Monday Night: Lingering sprinkles. L: 28
Tuesday: Sunny, cooler. H: 45 L: 19 Wind: NW 10-15
Wednesday: Seasonable. H: 46 L: 33 Wind: NE 5-10
Thursday: Slightly warmer. H: 48 L: 39 Wind: SW 15-20
Friday: A few showers Friday night. H: 49 L: 34 Wind: NW 10
Saturday: Much cooler. H: 43 L: 28 Wind: N 10
Sunday: Jacket weather. H: 44 L: 30 Wind: N 10
Elusive El Nino: The Climate Prediction Center has recently announced that an El Nino episode is now underway. Springtime in Minnesota tends to be drier and warmer during times of warmer ocean waters in the central Pacific Ocean. Is our recent warm/dry spell courtesy of El Nino? Hard to tell since this current El Nino may be too late and too weak to have any significant impact.
Winter Misery Index: Pete Boulay of the Minnesota State Climatology Office has updated the Twin Cities Winter Misery Index. The rating for this winter season (2014-2015) is 52 points, no where near the 207 points last winter.
Hellooo spring! Damn it feels good to see 60 degrees again. This week has featured some of the warmest weather since last October. Expect the warmth (and dry weather) to stick around through the weekend. A noticeable cool down does arrive late next week.
High Evaporation: Trails may be closed due to soggy conditions but know that the dry breeze is at work. Evaporation rates remain high through the weekend. In fact, the top soil layer might be dry enough to warrant brush fire concerns.
No More Snow: Our fatbike snow days are done. What little snow we had this winter season (27.2") has all but melted this week. Dry dirt riding can't come soon enough!
Kentucky recently received over 20" of snow in less than 24 hours...that's more than we've seen all winter! Nonetheless, our cold is getting old. We're due for a warm up. I predict spring fever in full swing next week!
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. H: 37 Wind: NW 10-15
Saturday Night: Light snow showers. L: 23
Sunday: Mostly sunny. H: 39 L: 23 Wind: W 10-15
Monday: Blue-bird day. H: 45 L: 30 Wind: SW 10-15
Tuesday: Warmest since mid-December. H: 52 L: 35 Wind: NW 2-4
Wednesday: Still mild. H: 47 L: 31 Wind: SE 5-10
First Glimpse: See the first global map of rainfall and snowfall measured by satellite over a 6 months period from April to September 2014.
NASA and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) launched the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Core Observatory into space from Japan. Data from GPM and the other new missions are making observations and providing scientists with new insights into global rain and snowfall, atmospheric carbon dioxide, ocean winds, clouds, and tiny airborne particles called aerosols.
One of the senors has already produced a global map of carbon dioxide from November 21 - December 27, 2014. Higher concentrations of carbon dioxide are clearly seen over higher latitudes, including over Minnesota. This is to be expected during the winter when plants are dormant and more fuels are being burned for heating.
Worst of Winter Behind Us? A photographer reflects back on winter's beauty just as spring begins across the Great Lakes.
Electric Cars and Climate: New research shows that electric cars have "shorter range and more emissions in regions with extreme weather". In colder or hotter climates, electric cars heat or cool the passenger cabin at the expense of the battery life. And as we all know in Minnesota, batteries are less efficient in extreme cold.
Twin Cities Snowfall: Heavy snow Tuesday morning will taper throughout the afternoon. Metro locations will likely pick up 2-3 inches of new snow with higher amounts north of Minneapolis/St. Paul.
High Winds: Commuters by bike will face strong winds sustained at 20 mph gusting to 45 mph at times Tuesday. Winds of this caliber will reduce visibility and drift the snow creating blizzard conditions over roads and bike paths.
Dangerous Cold: Once the snow passes, below zero wind chills settle in for the middle of the week. The cold will be brief, however, as temps rise above freezing this weekend. Could this be the start of the spring thaw in Minnesota?
Summer brings warm afternoons perfect for biking, but the summer heat and humidity can also spark thunderstorms and severe weather. Be prepared for any type of adverse weather headed your way with Aeris Pulse.
NWS Twin Cities Weather Story